Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
4,341,619.00
1 Week
4,736,793.60
1 Month
3,112,343.90
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0791 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8523 | 23.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0791 | -0.39 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0384 | 2.28** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9616 | 31.09*** |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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