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Powdertech Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

6,384.35

decreased by 197.89

1 Week

4,546.43

decreased by 2,035.81

1 Month

3,266.64

decreased by 3,315.60

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Powdertech Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9446
5.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1070
11.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8861
87.51***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0896
-4.76***
γ20.1450
4.33***
γ3-0.0910
-2.67***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

100 days