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How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	46
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.01
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5323	22.83***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.5000	24.42***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.8607	1.51
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.7798	1.49
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

CME Lumber MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other CME Lumber Analyses