V-Lab
John Wiley & Sons Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
30.34%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
32.45%
increased by 1.75%
1 Month
35.64%
increased by 4.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1019 | 17.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6766 | 60.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0916 | 11.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0232 | 2.23** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0350 | 3.63*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9589 | 77.32*** |
Persistence:
0.824
Half-life:
4 days
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