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John Wiley & Sons Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.28%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

36.16%

decreased by 1.73%

1 Month

35.74%

decreased by 2.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of John Wiley & Sons Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.1017
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0721
30.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9849
318.43***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2247
11.18***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days