V-Lab
Wang & LEE Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
2,373.99%
decreased by 135.05%
1 Week
2,374.52%
decreased by 134.52%
1 Month
2,376.64%
decreased by 132.40%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 20, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.33** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0930 | 2.26** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8950 | 27.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0240 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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