Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:1.83% (-0.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8344 | 3.94 | |
| 0.0925 | 5.53 | |
| 0.8519 | 41.06 | |
| -0.3380 | -1.28 | |
| 0.5352 | 1.44 | |
| -0.1562 | -0.67 | |
| -0.2945 | -1.33 | |
| 0.5970 | 2.72 | |
| -0.6452 | -2.53 | |
| 0.8282 | 3.07 | |
| -1.1571 | -4.66 | |
| 0.8697 | 4.50 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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