State Street Ultra Short Term Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:1.65% (-0.10%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5956 | 2.04 | |
| 0.1469 | 3.87 | |
| 0.7847 | 17.57 | |
| -1.1629 | -1.08 | |
| 1.1533 | 0.78 | |
| 0.2509 | 0.39 | |
| -1.3098 | -2.33 | |
| 2.7819 | 3.30 | |
| -3.2366 | -2.56 | |
| 2.9423 | 2.40 | |
| -2.3201 | -3.14 | |
| 1.6764 | 2.81 | |
| -1.3122 | -2.60 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 10, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 10, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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