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V-Lab

ReposiTrak Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

49.80%

increased by 4.33%

1 Week

50.07%

increased by 4.60%

1 Month

51.26%

increased by 5.79%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ReposiTrak Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1046
21.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7917
76.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0473
6.53***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0445
6.65***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0197
7.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9775
336.04***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days