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	param	t-stat
$m$	26
$α$	0.2003	16.96
$β$	0.5243	15.60
$γ$	0.0608	3.23
$λ_{1}$	1.3645	1.91
$λ_{2}$	0.1607	2.78
$λ_{3}$	0.8378	13.78

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Theriva Biologics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:170.13% (+36.44%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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