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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.8974	4.15
$α$	0.1078	5.57
$β$	0.8665	40.62
$γ_{1}$	0.3554	3.27
$γ_{2}$	-0.5129	-3.00
$γ_{3}$	0.4049	2.62
$γ_{4}$	-0.5375	-2.30
$γ_{5}$	0.3506	1.40
$γ_{6}$	-0.0165	-0.09
$γ_{7}$	-0.0504	-0.40
$γ_{8}$	0.0384	0.29
$γ_{9}$	-0.0574	-0.38
$γ_{10}$	0.1301	0.70

V-Lab

Theriva Biologics Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:159.98% (-5.29%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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