Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF - July Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:7.52% (-0.46%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9530 | 3.03 | |
| 0.1436 | 7.43 | |
| 0.8453 | 39.73 | |
| -0.0327 | -2.06 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 31, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 31, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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