TD CDN Aggregate Bond Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.54% (-0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6456 | 5.67 | |
| 0.0867 | 2.64 | |
| 0.7949 | 17.54 | |
| -0.4164 | -1.27 | |
| 0.9653 | 1.93 | |
| -1.1320 | -3.40 | |
| 1.2365 | 4.59 | |
| -1.1113 | -4.11 | |
| 0.2754 | 1.09 | |
| 0.4250 | 2.37 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 30, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 30, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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