S&P 500 Value Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:11.49% (-0.53%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0196 | 7.84 | |
| 0.1134 | 10.05 | |
| 0.8691 | 76.06 | |
| 0.0002 | 0.79 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 29, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 29, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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