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V-Lab

Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

34.60%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

34.59%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Month

34.63%

decreased by 1.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 255% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0425
18.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8373
98.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1085
18.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0313
2.51**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0162
4.68***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9772
219.55***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days