State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:1.79% (+0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9522 | 4.32 | |
| 0.1745 | 4.77 | |
| 0.5300 | 6.35 | |
| -0.0371 | -0.10 | |
| -0.3458 | -0.61 | |
| 0.6465 | 1.66 | |
| -0.7297 | -2.12 | |
| 1.2549 | 4.24 | |
| -1.9037 | -6.31 | |
| 2.8978 | 9.56 | |
| -3.1174 | -9.92 | |
| 1.6579 | 5.12 | |
| -0.3393 | -1.42 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 1, 2011 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 1, 2011 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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