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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Unleaded Gasoline Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

41.40%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

41.37%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Month

41.26%

decreased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Unleaded Gasoline Spot Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0233
17.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1436
29.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9875
1,343.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0194
-5.81***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days