V-Lab
SandRidge Energy, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
37.40%
1 Week
37.78%
1 Month
39.22%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 268 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 112% more than positive returns
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0320 | 11.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9474 | 171.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0359 | 4.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.4074 | 0.73 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6926 | 1.42 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
268 days
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