V-Lab
SandRidge Energy, Inc. Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
40.52%
increased by 0.51%
1 Week
41.15%
increased by 1.14%
1 Month
42.34%
increased by 2.33%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8909 | 4.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0542 | 2.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8228 | 9.63*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 1.6554 | 1.94* |
| γ2 | -2.5264 | -2.01** |
| γ3 | 2.1600 | 3.06*** |
| γ4 | -3.0209 | -4.75*** |
| γ5 | 2.6709 | 3.61*** |
| γ6 | -1.8802 | -2.77*** |
| γ7 | 1.7806 | 2.65*** |
| γ8 | -0.7619 | -1.19 |
| γ9 | -0.4842 | -0.72 |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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