Overlay Shares Core Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:8.60% (+0.45%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3903 | 4.43 | |
| 0.1212 | 2.33 | |
| 0.6782 | 6.28 | |
| -3.3933 | -3.44 | |
| 5.6821 | 3.93 | |
| -3.5588 | -4.26 | |
| 1.4684 | 2.40 | |
| -0.2701 | -0.44 | |
| 0.1521 | 0.28 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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