V-Lab
OceanaGold Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
62.53%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
62.43%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Month
64.34%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 7, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0666 | 0.49 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0666 | -0.50 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.7653 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6956 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3044 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.033
Half-life:
0 days
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