Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:23.42% (-0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1671 | 17.57 | |
| 0.1385 | 11.86 | |
| 0.7695 | 92.83 | |
| 0.0072 | 0.33 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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