Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:24.22% (-2.38%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1690 | 17.59 | |
| 0.1427 | 24.27 | |
| 0.7678 | 91.68 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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