Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:23.25% (-2.89%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7329 | 12.08 | |
| 0.1777 | 5.57 | |
| 0.5860 | 9.17 | |
| -0.0081 | -4.11 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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