Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:24.94% (-4.57%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6942 | 9.11 | |
| 0.1834 | 5.56 | |
| 0.5654 | 8.54 | |
| -0.0163 | -2.05 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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