Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:25.47% (-2.92%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0488 | 14.39 | |
| 0.2812 | 27.08 | |
| 0.9166 | 185.65 | |
| -0.0169 | -1.58 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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