Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate USDA Mortgage Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:22.18% (-1.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2161 | 18.65 | |
| 0.1615 | 26.04 | |
| 0.7230 | 76.27 | |
| 0.0953 | 2.49 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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