Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
3.65%
increased by 0.13%
1 Week
3.66%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
3.69%
increased by 0.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0004 | 14.20 | |
| 0.0379 | 16.96 | |
| 0.9629 | 814.63 | |
| -0.0127 | -3.96 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
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