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V-Lab

Millennium Group Corp Asia GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

46.14%

decreased by 4.20%

1 Week

47.22%

decreased by 3.12%

1 Month

49.32%

decreased by 1.02%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Millennium Group Corp Asia GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 26, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4053
2.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0790
4.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8855
18.65***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7864
3.56***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days