V-Lab
Millennium Group Corp Asia GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
36.79%
decreased by 1.79%
1 Week
41.10%
increased by 2.52%
1 Month
44.65%
increased by 6.07%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 26, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4774 | 10.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2405 | 7.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4898 | 13.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0505 | -1.21 |
Persistence:
0.705
Half-life:
2 days
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