PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - January Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:10.57% (-1.49%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0526 | 3.03 | |
| 0.1937 | 2.96 | |
| 0.5994 | 4.54 | |
| -7.1106 | -0.42 | |
| 28.5516 | 1.09 | |
| -58.9106 | -2.76 | |
| 102.9726 | 4.72 | |
| -123.7183 | -6.27 | |
| 71.8980 | 3.71 | |
| -4.0062 | -0.16 | |
| -14.5457 | -0.75 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2024 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 2024 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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