iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:3.45% (+0.26%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5960 | 5.39 | |
| 0.0703 | 6.20 | |
| 0.8735 | 41.84 | |
| -0.7163 | -3.89 | |
| 0.7437 | 2.85 | |
| -0.0102 | -0.06 | |
| 0.2277 | 1.14 | |
| -0.5781 | -3.03 | |
| 0.6113 | 3.28 | |
| -0.5187 | -2.34 | |
| 0.7503 | 3.29 | |
| -1.1287 | -5.92 | |
| 0.8603 | 6.73 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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