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Harish Textile Engineers Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

57.94%

increased by 0.89%

1 Week

57.54%

increased by 0.49%

1 Month

56.52%

decreased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Harish Textile Engineers Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 6, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.9748
12.38***
αARCH0.0924
3.67***
βGARCH0.9275
39.73***
νDF200.0000
0.06

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.9748
12.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0924
3.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9275
39.73***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.06

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days