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Harish Textile Engineers Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

57.59%

increased by 0.77%

1 Week

57.15%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

56.00%

decreased by 0.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Harish Textile Engineers Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 6, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0092
14.33***
αARCH0.0857
4.24***
βGARCH0.8455
22.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0005
0.15

0.931

Persistence

10d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0092
14.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0857
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8455
22.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0005
0.15

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days