Invesco Total Return Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:3.26% (+0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9008 | 2.51 | |
| 0.0968 | 2.46 | |
| 0.7095 | 9.92 | |
| -0.3229 | -0.24 | |
| 0.9603 | 0.50 | |
| -1.0845 | -0.93 | |
| 1.4620 | 1.07 | |
| -2.5664 | -1.64 | |
| 3.0617 | 3.32 | |
| -2.6032 | -4.28 | |
| 1.3222 | 1.83 | |
| -0.4841 | -0.89 | |
| 0.5944 | 1.68 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 10, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 10, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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