First Trust Managed Municipal ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:2.09% (-0.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3429 | 5.73 | |
| 0.2159 | 5.45 | |
| 0.6585 | 14.96 | |
| -0.1002 | -0.65 | |
| 0.1867 | 0.78 | |
| -0.2115 | -1.26 | |
| 0.5668 | 3.37 | |
| -0.9159 | -5.04 | |
| 0.6440 | 4.99 |
Estimation Period:
May 15, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
May 15, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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