First Trust Smith Opportunistic Fixed Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.82% (-0.19%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7316 | 4.93 | |
| 0.1129 | 2.96 | |
| 0.7363 | 14.39 | |
| 0.0112 | 0.01 | |
| 0.4724 | 0.42 | |
| -1.0078 | -1.33 | |
| 0.6016 | 0.91 | |
| 1.4436 | 2.30 | |
| -3.3990 | -4.86 | |
| 2.4877 | 3.64 | |
| -1.2214 | -2.23 | |
| 1.1230 | 3.17 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 15, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 15, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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