PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - February Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:10.86% (+3.20%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8919 | 2.97 | |
| 0.2019 | 2.40 | |
| 0.4614 | 2.22 | |
| -3.5858 | -0.23 | |
| 22.1751 | 1.00 | |
| -57.9807 | -3.10 | |
| 111.0741 | 4.01 | |
| -137.7073 | -4.51 | |
| 89.6344 | 3.73 | |
| -25.7978 | -1.15 | |
| 2.9479 | 0.17 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 1, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 1, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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