Skip to main content
V-Lab

Definium Therapeutics Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

76.39%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

78.07%

increased by 0.83%

1 Month

82.87%

increased by 5.63%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Definium Therapeutics Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 4, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6105
8.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0597
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8979
113.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0078
-0.31

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days