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V-Lab

Invesco DB Oil Fund EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

54.87%

decreased by 3.99%

1 Week

53.70%

decreased by 5.16%

1 Month

49.94%

decreased by 8.92%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco DB Oil Fund EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0337
15.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1839
24.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9774
790.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0528
-8.76***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days