Ecofinity Atomix Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
39.24%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
40.96%
increased by 0.58%
1 Month
46.37%
increased by 5.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 202% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0484 | 10.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8473 | 100.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0978 | 18.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3610 | 0.69 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6221 | 0.73 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3779 | 0.44 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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