Skip to main content
V-Lab

Amazon.com Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.65%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

33.63%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

35.93%

increased by 1.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amazon.com Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 333% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0409
15.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7668
90.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1363
18.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0097
1.30
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0129
2.21**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9859
140.62***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days