Skip to main content
V-Lab

Amazon.com Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

38.88%

decreased by 2.99%

1 Week

37.88%

decreased by 3.99%

1 Month

35.97%

decreased by 5.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amazon.com Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 332% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0400
14.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7689
89.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1329
18.45***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0093
1.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0129
2.17**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9859
138.41***

Persistence:

0.875

Half-life:

5 days