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V-Lab

Gold BY Gold SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

48.75%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

52.64%

increased by 3.37%

1 Month

63.13%

increased by 13.86%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gold BY Gold SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 13, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1973
9.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1166
9.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8529
104.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0201
-0.93

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days