V-Lab
Gold BY Gold SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
48.75%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
52.64%
increased by 3.37%
1 Month
63.13%
increased by 13.86%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 13, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1973 | 9.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 9.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8529 | 104.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0201 | -0.93 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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