iShares Agency Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:3.33% (+0.70%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1525 | 5.87 | |
| 0.1148 | 5.85 | |
| 0.7574 | 21.91 | |
| 0.5062 | 3.53 | |
| -0.5393 | -2.41 | |
| 0.2436 | 1.36 | |
| -0.5348 | -3.43 | |
| 0.6273 | 4.24 | |
| -0.5234 | -3.42 | |
| 0.5574 | 4.24 | |
| -0.7225 | -6.24 | |
| 0.5284 | 5.50 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 11, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 11, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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