V-Lab
XTB S A GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
55.72%
decreased by 4.17%
1 Week
53.58%
decreased by 6.31%
1 Month
50.43%
decreased by 9.46%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7705 | 7.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0803 | 3.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7409 | 28.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0211 | -0.64 |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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