V-Lab
Zhejiang Tion Vanly Tech Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
47.73%
increased by 20.25%
1 Week
46.90%
increased by 19.42%
1 Month
45.04%
increased by 17.56%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0255 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6234 | 70.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 13.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.3316 | 28.55*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
7 days
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