V-Lab
Lens Technology Co.,Ltd. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
69.69%
decreased by 3.64%
1 Week
67.97%
decreased by 5.36%
1 Month
65.52%
decreased by 7.81%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7000 | 7.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0634 | 2.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7442 | 7.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.5913 | -1.16 |
| γ2 | 1.8343 | 2.41** |
| γ3 | -2.0463 | -3.99*** |
| γ4 | 1.4762 | 3.10*** |
| γ5 | -1.6154 | -3.35*** |
| γ6 | 1.7431 | 3.23*** |
| γ7 | -1.5720 | -2.52** |
| γ8 | 1.8249 | 3.14*** |
| γ9 | -1.5305 | -2.49** |
| γ10 | 0.4079 | 0.83 |
Persistence:
0.808
Half-life:
3 days
Other Lens Technology Co.,Ltd. Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities