Dongsung Finetec Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
67.08%
decreased by 3.16%
1 Week
66.57%
decreased by 3.67%
1 Month
65.34%
decreased by 4.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2002 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0562 | 13.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8304 | 52.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0445 | 6.69*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0501 | 2.67*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0198 | 2.90*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9755 | 120.22*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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