NPC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
29.67%
increased by 2.67%
1 Week
29.79%
increased by 2.79%
1 Month
30.37%
increased by 3.37%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.2018 | 29.22 | |
| 0.5902 | 41.49 | |
| -0.0168 | -1.65 | |
| 0.0201 | 2.43 | |
| 0.0294 | 4.17 | |
| 0.9688 | 125.87 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 3, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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