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V-Lab

Guangdong Shunna Electric Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

98.39%

increased by 14.96%

1 Week

92.55%

increased by 9.12%

1 Month

78.58%

decreased by 4.85%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Shunna Electric Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 47% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1720
32.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6954
93.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0547
-9.58***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.3514
2.99***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8400
6.67***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0344
0.21

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days